Nigeria’s total petrol supply rose to 40.1 million litres per day (ml/d) in March 2026, up from 39.5 ml/d recorded in February 2026. The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) revealed this in its latest factsheet on the state of the midstream and downstream sector.
While domestic supply accounted for 34.2 ml/d, imports contributed 5.9ml/d, indicating a recovery in imported petrol volumes in Nigeria, notwithstanding the limited number of licences issued within the period. The data revealed a modest improvement in supply during the review period, even as Nigeria remains heavily reliant on refined products from Dangote refinery, amid global oil market pressures that have driven up refined product prices.
The factsheet showed that production from the Dangote Refinery recorded output of 48.2 ml/d in March, with an average capacity utilisation of 93.62 per cent. However, the Refinery’s contribution to domestic supply has weakened for the third straight month, declining to 34.2 ml/d in March, compared with 36 ml/d in February and 40.1 ml/d in January 2026.
Meanwhile, petrol import volumes, on the other hand, nearly doubled on a month-on-month basis, rising to 5.9 ml/d from 3 ml/d in February. This increase came amid constrained licensing conditions, suggesting a measured re-entry of importers into the market to bridge supply gaps.
On the demand side, domestic consumption eased significantly, dropping to 47.3 ml/d in March from 56.9 ml/d in February. The decline in consumption, alongside the uptick in supply, indicates a relative easing of market pressure during the review period. This is just as the average pump price was 1,249.01/ l in Lagos, 1,286.81/ l in Abuja, and 1,280.43/L in Enugu.
Overall, the March data showed that imports remain a critical buffer in stabilising supply, particularly in periods of fluctuating production and demand, amidst the country’s growing dependence on domestic refining capacity. READ ALSO: Nigeria Signs $1bn Investment MoU With India’s Rashmi Steel Group